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Politics Prediction Markets

41 insights published in this category.

Odds Shock2026-07-21

Will Trump Say 'Iran' to Xi Jinping? Odds Dip Significantly on Polymarket

Market probability for Trump mentioning 'Iran' to Xi Jinping dropped 39.4% in 6 hours. Current odds suggest a low likelihood.

Odds Shock2026-07-21

Odds Trump Says 'Nuclear' to Xi Jinping Fall Sharply on Polymarket

Market probability for Trump uttering 'Nuclear' during events with Xi Jinping has fallen by 73.15% in the last 6 hours. Current odds stand at 1.1%.

Odds Shock2026-07-20

Trump "Strait" or "Hormuz" Market Odds Plunge Amidst Shifting Sentiment

Probability for Trump saying "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping has fallen sharply on Polymarket. See current odds and what to watch.

Odds Shock2026-07-20

Trump "Iran" Remark Odds With Xi Jinping Drop Sharply on Polymarket

Probability for Trump mentioning 'Iran' during events with Xi Jinping fell 70.45% in the last 6 hours on Polymarket. Current odds are 3.1%.

Odds Shock2026-07-19

Trump 'Strait' or 'Hormuz' Market Odds Plummet 77.5% in 6 Hours on Polymarket

The probability for Trump saying 'Strait' or 'Hormuz' during events with Xi Jinping has fallen by 77.5% in the last 6 hours, currently standing at 0.35%.

Odds Shock2026-07-19

Trump 'Nuclear' Comment With Xi Jinping: Probability Drops Significantly on Polymarket

Probability of Trump saying 'Nuclear' during events with Xi Jinping has dropped 74% in the last 6 hours to 0.35% on Polymarket.

Odds Shock2026-07-19

Odds Tumble for Trump Mentioning 'Iran' During Xi Jinping Events on Polymarket

Market probability for Trump saying 'Iran' to Xi Jinping plunged 70.75% over 6 hours, currently at 0.55%. The market resolves May 15, 2026.

Odds Shock2026-07-18

Trump 'Iran' Comments to Xi Jinping Market Surges 14.45%

The market on whether Trump will mention 'Iran' to Xi Jinping saw a significant 14.45% price increase in the last hour, now trading at 80.25%.

Odds Shock2026-07-18

Trump "Nuclear" Xi Talk Odds See 12% Jump on Polymarket

Market odds for Trump saying "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping rose 12.15% in the last hour, reaching 80.6%. Trading activity remains a key indicator.

Odds Shock2026-07-17

Trump "Iran" Comments vs. Xi Jinping: Market Probability Declines

The probability of Donald Trump mentioning "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping has fallen significantly on Polymarket. Explore the data and its implications.

Whale Alert2026-07-15

Trump Renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? Market Activity

Analysis of recent whale activity on the Polymarket event "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to 'Strait of Trump' by May 31?". Examining trading patterns and market dynamics.

Odds Shock2026-07-15

Trump "Tariff" Remark Probability vs. Xi Jinping Falls Sharply

The probability of Trump saying "Tariff" when meeting Xi Jinping has decreased by 15.65% in the past 6 hours. Current odds stand at 2.85%.

Odds Shock2026-07-15

Trump "Iran" Mention Probability Surges 24% on Polymarket

The probability of Donald Trump mentioning "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping has increased by 23.85% in the past hour on Polymarket, now standing at 92.25%. Current odds reflect a high expectation.

Odds Shock2026-07-15

Trump 'Strait' or 'Hormuz' with Xi Jinping: Odds Jump 21% on Polymarket

The market assessing whether Trump will say 'Strait' or 'Hormuz' during events with Xi Jinping has seen a significant odds shock, with probabilities increasing by 21.1%.

Whale Alert2026-07-14

Whale Alert: Trump RENAME Strait of Hormuz to 'Strait of Trump' by May 31?

Whale activity observed on the Polymarket 'Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?' market. Analyze recent trading and context.

Odds Shock2026-07-14

Trump 'Strait' or 'Hormuz' Remark on Xi Jinping - Odds Shift on Polymarket

Market odds on whether Trump will say 'Strait' or 'Hormuz' during events with Xi Jinping have seen a significant shock (-27.85%). Current probability is 71.6%. End date: May 15, 2026.

Whale Alert2026-07-14

Whale Alert on Trump Renaming Strait of Hormuz Polymarket

Whale activity detected on the Polymarket market betting on whether Trump will rename the Strait of Hormuz by May 31. Monitor for further trading data.

Odds Shock2026-07-14

Trump AI Comments Market Sees 24% Probability Drop on Polymarket

Market tracking whether Trump says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" with Xi Jinping sees probabilities decrease.

Odds Shock2026-07-14

Trump "Iran" Mention Odds Spike 64% on Polymarket

The probability of Trump mentioning "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping has surged 64%. The market currently stands at 96.75%.

Whale Alert2026-07-14

Whale Alert Triggers on Trump Strait of Hormuz Rename Market

A significant whale trade has been recorded on the Polymarket market asking if Trump will rename the Strait of Hormuz by May 31. Market dynamics shift.

Whale Alert2026-07-13

Trump Renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" Market Activity

Analysis of the Polymarket for a potential renaming of the Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31, including whale alert data.

Whale Alert2026-07-13

Whale Alert on Trump Renaming Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" Market

Significant whale activity detected on the Polymarket market regarding the potential renaming of the Strait of Hormuz. Analysis of recent trades and market conditions.

Whale Alert2026-07-13

Whale Alert Triggered on Trump Strait of Hormuz Renaming Market

Whale alert triggered on the 'Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?' Polymarket. Observe trading activity and news.

Whale Alert2026-07-12

Trump Strait of Hormuz Renaming Market Sees Whale Alert

A whale alert triggered in the Polymarket market asking if Trump will rename the Strait of Hormuz to 'Strait of Trump' by May 31.

Whale Alert2026-07-11

Trump Strait of Hormuz Renaming Market Activity

Analysis of the "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?" Polymarket. Details on trading volume and whale alerts.

Whale Alert2026-07-10

Trump Renames Strait of Hormuz to 'Strait of Trump' by May 31? Market Data

Analysis of the "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to 'Strait of Trump' by May 31?" Polymarket, including recent whale activity and market volume.

Whale Alert2026-07-07

Whale Alert Triggered on Trump Strait of Hormuz Renaming Market

A recent whale alert has been triggered on the Polymarket assessing whether Donald Trump will rename the Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31.

Whale Alert2026-07-06

Trump Renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Analysis of the "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?" market on Polymarket, including recent whale activity and what to watch.

Whale Alert2026-07-05

Whale Alert Triggered on Trump Strait of Hormuz Renaming Market

Significant whale activity detected on the Polymarket 'Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?' market. Monitor for further price movements.

Whale Alert2026-07-05

Strait of Hormuz Rename Market Sees Whale Alert Activity

The market assessing whether Trump renames the Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31 has experienced whale alert activity. View current probabilities and trading data.

Odds Shock2026-07-05

Trump Taiwan/Tibet Event Probability Falls on Polymarket

Probability for Trump saying 'Taiwan' or 'Tibet' during events with Xi Jinping has decreased by 17.5% in the last 6 hours on Polymarket.

Odds Shock2026-07-05

Trump "Six Seven" Remark to Xi Market Falls; Current Probability 12.45%

The probability of Trump saying "Six Seven" to Xi has decreased by 12.05% in the last hour, now trading at 12.45%. Market resolves May 15, 2026.

Odds Shock2026-07-04

Odds Drop for Trump Saying 'Iran' During Xi Jinping Events

Probability decreased by 12% in the last hour. Current odds stand at 39%. Market resolves May 15, 2026.

Whale Alert2026-07-04

Whale Buys Trump Strait of Hormuz Rename Market on Polymarket

A significant whale trade was recorded in the market asking if Trump will rename the Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31. Volume for the day stands at $37,694.69.

Odds Shock2026-07-03

Trump 'Six Seven' remark probability drops 59% to 12% on Polymarket

Probability for Trump saying 'Six Seven' to Xi Jinping fell 59.45% to 12.45% in the past hour. Outlook uncertain as market waits for events.

Whale Alert2026-07-01

Whale Alert Hits Trump Strait of Hormuz Rename Market

Whale activity noted in the market questioning if Trump will rename the Strait of Hormuz. 2 whale trades recorded.

Odds Shock2026-07-01

Trump "Tariff" Mention Probability Falls on Polymarket

Probability of Trump saying "Tariff" in events with Xi Jinping fell from 67.5% to 54% in the past hour. Market resolves May 2026.

Odds Shock2026-06-29

Longer Trump-Xi Handshake (15s+) Odds Plummet 38% on Polymarket

Market odds for a Trump-Xi handshake lasting 15s+ have fallen significantly. Current probability is 12%.

Odds Shock2026-06-22

Trump Taiwan or Tibet Remark Odds Drop on Polymarket

Probability of Trump mentioning Taiwan or Tibet during events with Xi Jinping fell 11% in one hour to 27.5%. Market resolves May 15, 2026.

Whale Alert2026-06-07

The Rock 2028 Presidential Election Market Sees Whale Trade Activity

The 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?' market experienced a whale trade. Current probability stands at 1.65%.

Odds Shock2026-05-12

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? — Odds Move Up on Polymarket

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? — Odds Move Up on Polymarket. Current implied probability: 96%. 24h volume: $4.4K.