1win's Game 1 Win Probability Falls 31.45% in Significant Market Shift
Polymarket data shows a 31.45% drop in 1win's probability to win Game 1 against Team Nemesis. This shift occurred within the last 24 hours.
Published Fri, 08 May 2026 02:35:25 GMT
The probability for `1win` to win Game 1 against `Team Nemesis` has experienced a significant decline on Polymarket. Data indicates a `31.45%` decrease in the last 24 hours. The current probability stands at `0.0005`.
This market, categorized under `Sports`, specifically `Dota 2`, tracks the potential outcome of `Game 1` between the two teams. Over the past 24 hours, the market has seen `59` trades and generated `2450.564674` in trading volume. No `whales` (large traders) were recorded during this period. The market is scheduled to resolve by `2026-05-07T18:00:00+00:00`.
Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to trade on the probability of future events. The price of a share in such a market reflects the crowd's aggregated belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome, ranging from $0 (0% probability) to $1 (100% probability). A change in probability, such as the observed `31.45%` drop, indicates a shift in market sentiment regarding the likelihood of `1win` winning `Game 1`. Traders adjust their positions based on new information, analysis, or evolving perceptions of the event's potential outcomes, which then influences the market-implied probability.
This market will continue to evolve until the resolution date. Further shifts in probability will depend on new information related to the match, team performance, or other relevant factors that traders consider in their assessments.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What happened to 1win's probability?
- 1win's probability to win Game 1 against Team Nemesis decreased by 31.45% within the last 24 hours, reaching a current probability of 0.0005.
- What is the trading volume for this market?
- The market has seen 2450.564674 in trading volume and 59 trades in the past 24 hours.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market for 'Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner' is set to resolve by 2026-05-07T18:00:00+00:00.
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