Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5 Probability Decreased 13% in Last Hour

The probability of over 3.5 total goals in Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC fell by 13% to 34.5% in the past hour.

Published Sat, 26 Sep 2026 14:35:57 GMT

Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-18
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5 Probability Decreased 13% in Last HourSports · Odds ShockNo price history yet

Market data indicates a notable shift in the probability for the 'Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5' market on Polymarket. Over the last hour, the probability associated with this outcome has decreased by 13 percentage points, currently standing at 34.5%.

This observation is based on the `deltaPct` value of -13 and `currentProb` of 0.345 provided in the market data. The `windowLabel` of '1h' confirms this change occurred within the past hour.

What to Watch Next:

Investors in this market will likely monitor any further shifts in probability as the market approaches its `endDate` of May 18, 2026. Changes in sentiment or the introduction of new information, should it become available, could influence trading activity and thus the probability assigned to the 'Over 3.5 goals' outcome.

Understanding Prediction Markets:

Prediction markets, like Polymarket, aggregate the beliefs of traders into probabilities. The probability displayed for a market represents the collective market's assessed chance of a specific outcome occurring. A probability of 34.5% implies that, based on current trading, the market assesses a 34.5% chance that Arsenal FC and Burnley FC will combine for over 3.5 goals in their match. This probability fluctuates based on trading volume and perceived likelihood of the event.

Frequently asked

What does O/U 3.5 mean in sports betting?
O/U 3.5 refers to 'Over/Under 3.5 total goals'. It means traders are betting on whether the total number of goals scored by both teams will be more than 3.5 (Over) or less than 3.5 (Under).
How is the probability calculated on Polymarket?
Probabilities on Polymarket are derived from the trading prices of shares in a market. The price of a share represents the market's assessed probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share trading at $0.345 implies a 34.5% probability.
What does a negative delta percentage indicate?
A negative delta percentage (e.g., -13%) indicates that the probability of the market's outcome has decreased within the specified time window (in this case, 1 hour).

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