CF Montréal 2026-05-13 Win Odds Plummet 67% on Polymarket

Data Unveiled: Significant Probability Shift for CF Montréal

On May 13, 2026, a notable shift occurred in the market concerning the probability of CF Montréal securing a win. Data from Polymarket indicates a sharp decline in the odds for this outcome. Specifically, the probability percentage experienced a delta of -67.45% over the preceding hour, a period labeled as '1h' in the market window. This dramatic change brought the current implied probability of CF Montréal winning on 2026-05-13 down to an exceedingly low 0.05% (0.0005).

The market in question, identified by the slug `mls-mim-por-2026-05-13-mim`, is categorized under Sports. The listed end date for the event or market settlement is May 13, 2026, at 23:30:00 UTC. Despite the significant price action observed in the probability, the available transaction statistics for the past 24 hours show zero volume, zero trades, and zero whale activity. This indicates that the observed probability shock was not driven by recent substantial trading but potentially by other market dynamics or a re-evaluation of information.

What to Watch Next

Investors and observers in this market will be closely monitoring any developments that could influence the probability regarding CF Montréal's performance on May 13, 2026. Given the current low probability, any positive news or signals related to the team's prospects could lead to a rapid increase in implied odds, and conversely, any negative news could further depress them. The lack of recent trading volume suggests that the market may be thinly traded, making it susceptible to larger price swings from relatively smaller trades. Therefore, future price discovery will be key.

Understanding Prediction Markets

Prediction markets, like Polymarket, operate on the principle of aggregating information and sentiment into probabilities. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of a specific event occurring. A contract priced at $0.10, for example, implies a 10% probability of the event happening. These probabilities are dynamic and can change rapidly as new information becomes available or as market participants adjust their positions. The odds shock observed here signifies a significant change in the market's assessment of CF Montréal's chances for the specified date. It is crucial to interpret these probabilities not as certainties, but as fluid indicators of prevailing market expectations.