Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 Map 2 Winner Market Sees Significant Odds Shift

The probability for Monte to win Map 2 against G2 has decreased by 15.5% in the last hour, reaching 23.5%. Explore the data.

Published Mon, 08 Jun 2026 00:05:27 GMT

Current probability
0.1%
Change 24h
-39.0 pts
Change 7d
-39.0 pts
Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-13
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 Map 2 Winner Market Sees Significant Odds ShiftSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-132026-05-13

The Polymarket "Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winner" market experienced a notable odds shock over the preceding hour, as indicated by a `deltaPct` of -15.50%. The probability of Monte winning Map 2 has fallen to 0.235 (23.5%) from a previous higher level.

This shift occurred within the `windowLabel` designated as "1h", suggesting that recent trading activity has significantly impacted perceived probabilities. The `triggerTs` timestamp recorded when this observation was made was 1778661304594.

Looking ahead, traders will monitor whether this trend continues or reverses. The market's current probability of 0.235 suggests a perceived 23.5% chance for Monte to secure victory on Map 2. Conversely, this implies an approximate 0.765 (76.5%) probability for G2 to win Map 2, based on the current market data.

For context, prediction markets like Polymarket aggregate the beliefs of participants. A probability of 0.235 in this market does not represent a definitive prediction of the outcome, but rather the current collective assessment of likelihood based on available information and trading behavior. Participants buy and sell "shares" in an outcome, and the price of these shares, normalized to 100%, represents the market's inferred probability. A probability of 0.235 means that, at the time of this analysis, the market infers a 23.5% chance for Monte to win Map 2.

Additional market statistics show `changePct24h` at -38.95% and `changePct7d` at -38.95%, indicating a sustained downward trend in Monte's win probability over longer periods. Trading volume and whale activity for the last 24 hours are reported as 0, which may warrant further investigation into data resolution or market activity. The `endDate` for Map 2 is set for 2026-05-13T13:30:00+00:00.

Users should observe the evolution of probabilities leading up to the match start for further insights into market sentiment regarding the Monte vs G2 Map 2 outcome.

Frequently asked

What does the odds shock mean for the Monte vs G2 Map 2 match?
The odds shock indicates a significant decrease in the perceived probability of Monte winning Map 2, falling 15.5% in one hour to 23.5%.
How are probabilities determined in prediction markets?
Probabilities are determined by the collective trading activity of participants. The price of a share in an outcome, normalized to 100%, represents the market's inferred probability.
What are the historical changes in this market's probability?
This market has seen a decrease of 38.95% in Monte's win probability over the last 7 and 24 hours.

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