Counter-Strike paiN vs FUT Esports Map 2 Winner Odds Shock on Polymarket

Odds for paiN to win Map 2 against FUT Esports have fallen significantly. The probability dropped by 12.5% in the last hour.

Published Tue, 26 May 2026 01:05:08 GMT

Current probability
0.1%
Change 24h
-37.0 pts
Change 7d
-37.0 pts
Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-12
Counter-Strike paiN vs FUT Esports Map 2 Winner Odds Shock on PolymarketSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-122026-05-12

Market Data Analysis: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Observation: The probability for paiN to win Map 2 against FUT Esports experienced a notable shock event within the last hour, as indicated by a `deltaPct` of -12.5%. The current probability stands at 24.5%.

Over the past 24 hours, the market has seen a 36.95% decrease in the probability for paiN to win Map 2. This trend has been consistent over the last 7 days, with a `changePct7d` also at -36.95%. The volume and trading activity within this 24-hour window are reported as zero.

Key Metrics: - Current Probability (paiN Win Map 2): 24.5% - Probability Change (Last Hour): -12.5% - Probability Change (24 Hours): -36.95% - Probability Change (7 Days): -36.95% - Volume (24 Hours): 0 - Trades (24 Hours): 0 - Whales (24 Hours): 0

Context: This market on Polymarket resolves based on the outcome of Map 2 between paiN and FUT Esports. The probabilities represent the market's assessment of the likelihood of each outcome (i.e., which team wins Map 2). A probability of 24.5% suggests that, as of the data extraction, the market priced paiN's win probability at approximately 24.5 cents on the dollar.

What to Watch Next: Traders may monitor subsequent price movements for any further shifts in probability. Given the reported zero volume and trades in the last 24 hours and the significant hourly `deltaPct`, understanding the catalyst for this probability shock is critical. Any official match updates or performance indicators related to paiN or FUT Esports could influence future market sentiment.

Market Mechanics: Prediction markets function by aggregating information and expectations from participants. Buying a contract that pays out on paiN winning Map 2 increases its price, implying increased market belief in that outcome. Conversely, selling such a contract decreases its price. The `currentProb` reflects the latest consensus, derived from the trading price of the 'Yes' shares (i.e., paiN wins Map 2).

End Date: The market resolves based on Map 2 results and is set to conclude on May 12, 2026, at 22:00:00 UTC.

Frequently asked

What is the market question for this Polymarket?
The market asks who will win Map 2 between paiN and FUT Esports.
What does the probability of 24.5% mean for paiN winning Map 2?
A 24.5% probability suggests that the market currently assesses paiN's chance of winning Map 2 at approximately 24.5%.
Why did the odds for paiN win Map 2 drop?
The provided data indicates a significant probability drop of 12.5% in the last hour and 36.95% over 24 hours, but does not specify the cause for this market movement.

Related markets