CR Flamengo Win Probability Drops 13.5% on Polymarket

Polymarket data shows a 13.5% decline in the probability of CR Flamengo winning their match on May 7, 2026. The market currently prices their chances at 45%.

Published Sat, 09 May 2026 01:35:09 GMT

Current probability
56.5%
Change 24h
+4.5 pts
Change 7d
+4.5 pts
Volume 24h
$846
Trades 24h
52
Resolves
2026-05-08
CR Flamengo Win Probability Drops 13.5% on PolymarketSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-082026-05-08

The Polymarket odds for "Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?" experienced a significant change, with the probability currently standing at 0.45. This represents a decline of 13.5% from the previous implied probability measured by the odds_shock trigger.

Over the past 24 hours, the market has seen 52 trades and a volume of $846.33. The probability has shown a 24-hour change of +4.5%, indicating some fluctuations around the current decline. Over the past 7 days, the change remains at +4.5%. No whale trades have been recorded within the last 24 hours.

Looking ahead, market participants will monitor any further shifts in perceived team strength, player availability, or other relevant factors that could influence the outcome of the match. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 8, 2026, at 12:30 AM UTC.

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can trade on the outcome of future events. The prices in these markets reflect the crowd's aggregated real-time assessment of the probability of an event occurring. A probability of 0.45, for instance, indicates that market participants believe there is a 45% chance of CR Flamengo winning. This probability is derived from the prices at which 'Yes' and 'No' shares are traded, where a 'Yes' share resolving to 'True' yields $1, and otherwise $0.

Frequently asked

What is the current probability of CR Flamengo winning?
The current probability of CR Flamengo winning on May 7, 2026, is 45% on Polymarket.
How much has CR Flamengo's win probability changed recently?
The probability of CR Flamengo winning declined by 13.5% according to the trigger data. Over the past 24 hours, the probability shows a net change of +4.5%.
When does the market for CR Flamengo's match resolve?
The market for CR Flamengo's match on May 7, 2026, is set to resolve on May 8, 2026, at 12:30 AM UTC.
What does a 45% probability mean on Polymarket?
A 45% probability indicates that market participants believe there is a 45% chance that CR Flamengo will win their match on May 7, 2026. This is based on the aggregated trading activity and prices on the platform.

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