Detroit Tigers vs. NY Mets O/U 7.5 Odds Surge to 99.95% Probability

Market Event: Odds Shock

Current State:

The market predicting whether the total runs in the Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets game (Over/Under 7.5) will be resolved to 'Yes' has experienced a significant upward price movement. The probability currently stands at 99.95%, an indication of extreme market consensus.

Observed Shift:

Over the past 24 hours and 7 days, the probability has increased by 49.45 percentage points. The most recent one-hour window shows a 45.95% increase in probability, indicating a rapid acceleration of this trend. The current probability of 99.95% suggests the market is almost fully pricing in a resolution to 'Yes' for the O/U 7.5 condition.

Data Points:

* Market Question: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 * Current Probability: 99.95% * Change (24h / 7d): +49.45% * Change (1h): +45.95% * End Date: 2026-05-12T23:10:00+00:00

Context:

Prediction markets, like those available on Polymarket, aggregate user beliefs into probabilities. A high probability, such as the 99.95% observed here, signifies strong agreement among market participants regarding the likely outcome of the specified event. This is calculated based on the trading prices of market shares, where a price of $1.00 represents a 100% probability and $0.01 represents a 1% probability.

What to Watch:

Given the extreme level of conviction indicated by the current probability, traders will observe if this trend holds into the game's conclusion. Any deviation from this consensus would represent a significant market move. The market resolves based on the official game statistics pertaining to the total runs scored by both teams. The resolution will occur after the game concludes on May 12, 2026.