Dodgers vs. Angels Market Probability Jumps 29.45% in 6 Hours
The probability for the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels market on Polymarket has seen a significant increase of 29.45% over the last 6 hours, reaching 99.95%.
Published Fri, 21 Aug 2026 00:05:37 GMT
Market Activity Update
The probability associated with the "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels" market on Polymarket experienced a notable shift, increasing by 29.45% within the past 6-hour window.
The market's current probability stands at 99.95%, up from a previous level that would be approximately 70.50% (99.95% - 29.45%). This indicates a strong market consensus forming around one outcome.
Key Data Points: * Market: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels * Change in Probability (6h): +29.45% * Current Probability: 99.95% * Market End Date: May 24, 2026, 01:38 UTC * Market Slug: mlb-lad-laa-2026-05-16
Observations: Trading volume and trade counts within the last 24 hours are reported as 0. This suggests the recent price action is not driven by new liquidity entering the market, but rather by the repricing of existing positions or a lack of active trading on this specific market at this time.
What to Watch Next: Investors and observers should monitor whether this elevated probability is sustained or if further shifts occur as the market approaches its resolution date of May 24, 2026. The absence of 24-hour trading volume is an anomaly that warrants attention, potentially indicating limited current activity despite the large probability shift.
Understanding Prediction Markets: Prediction markets, like Polymarket, aggregate the beliefs of participants into probabilities. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of a specific event occurring. A probability of 99.95% suggests that the market participants overwhelmingly believe this outcome will occur. Conversely, a lower probability indicates greater uncertainty or a higher likelihood of the event not occurring. The "deltaPct" metric highlights the percentage change in probability over a specified period, indicating market sentiment shifts.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does a 99.95% probability mean on Polymarket?
- A probability of 99.95% on Polymarket means that the market participants collectively believe there is a 99.95% chance of a specific outcome occurring.
- Why did the probability for the Dodgers vs. Angels market change?
- The provided data shows a significant probability shift of 29.45% over 6 hours, but does not specify the underlying cause. Market participants' collective sentiment and trading activity drive probability changes.
- How are probabilities calculated on Polymarket?
- Probabilities on Polymarket are determined by the aggregate trading activity and the prices at which contracts are bought and sold by users.
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