What does a 99.95% probability mean on Polymarket?

A probability of 99.95% suggests that the market overwhelmingly believes Xtreme Gaming will win the match. If Xtreme Gaming wins, resolving the market to YES would result in a payout of $1.00 per share. If they lose, resolving to NO would result in a payout of $1.00 per share for those who bet on Tundra Esports.

How do prediction markets handle Dota 2 matches?

Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to bet on the outcome of events, including esports matches such as Dota 2 games. The probability displayed is determined by the trading activity of users buying and selling shares representing the potential outcomes (e.g., 'Xtreme Gaming wins' or 'Tundra Esports wins').

What is a 'BO3' match format?

BO3 stands for 'Best of Three'. In this format, two teams play against each other in a series of up to three games. The first team to win two games wins the match.

POLYDAR/ INSIGHTS

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports Odds Shock on Polymarket

Xtreme Gaming's probability surged by 48.45% in the last 6 hours, nearing certainty ahead of the Dota 2 match.

Published Sat, 04 Jul 2026 07:05:19 GMT

Volume 24h

Trades 24h

Resolves

2026-05-14

Data Inflow

The probability for Xtreme Gaming to defeat Tundra Esports in their BO3 DreamLeague Group B match has experienced a significant shift. Over the past 6 hours, the odds for Xtreme Gaming have increased by 48.45 percentage points. The current probability stands at 99.95%, indicating a near-consensus expectation for their victory. Trading volume and whale activity within this 24-hour window were reported as 0.

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Frequently asked

What does a 99.95% probability mean on Polymarket?: A probability of 99.95% suggests that the market overwhelmingly believes Xtreme Gaming will win the match. If Xtreme Gaming wins, resolving the market to YES would result in a payout of $1.00 per share. If they lose, resolving to NO would result in a payout of $1.00 per share for those who bet on Tundra Esports.
How do prediction markets handle Dota 2 matches?: Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to bet on the outcome of events, including esports matches such as Dota 2 games. The probability displayed is determined by the trading activity of users buying and selling shares representing the potential outcomes (e.g., 'Xtreme Gaming wins' or 'Tundra Esports wins').
What is a 'BO3' match format?: BO3 stands for 'Best of Three'. In this format, two teams play against each other in a series of up to three games. The first team to win two games wins the match.

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