FC St. Pauli 1910 Win Odds Decline Significantly on Polymarket
FC St. Pauli 1910's probability to win on 2026-05-16 has fallen by 36.45% over the past 6 hours, dropping to 0.05%.
Published Fri, 07 Aug 2026 03:05:29 GMT
Data Snapshot: Probability Shift for FC St. Pauli 1910 Win
Over the last 6 hours (windowLabel: '6h'), the probability of FC St. Pauli 1910 winning on 2026-05-16 has experienced a notable decline. The market data indicates a delta of -36.45%, reducing the current probability to 0.05% (currentProb: 0.0005).
The market in question, identified by marketSlug 'bun-pau-wol-2026-05-16-pau', pertains to the outcome of a sporting event scheduled for 2026-05-16 at 13:30:00 UTC. The trigger for this insight (triggerTs: 1778944802403) signals a significant price movement within a short timeframe.
Trading Activity Overview:
* Volume (24h): 0 * Trades (24h): 0 * Whales (24h): 0
This suggests that while the probability has shifted, current trading volume and activity within the past 24 hours are minimal. The market has not yet been resolved (resolved: null).
What to Watch Next
Traders and observers should monitor the market for any further shifts in probability leading up to the event date of 2026-05-16. The absence of recent trading volume could indicate a period of market consolidation or reduced participation. Any forthcoming news or developments directly impacting FC St. Pauli 1910 or their opponent could influence future price movements.
Understanding Prediction Markets
Prediction markets, like Polymarket, operate on the principle of collective intelligence. Probabilities reflect the aggregated beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of a future event occurring. A probability of 0.05% suggests that, based on current market sentiment, the event is considered highly unlikely. As more information becomes available or as participants adjust their assessments, these probabilities can fluctuate. The 'deltaPct' figure quantifies the magnitude and direction of change in these probabilities over a specified period, providing a measure of market momentum.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does a 36.45% odds drop mean for FC St. Pauli 1910?
- A 36.45% drop in the probability means that market participants' collective belief in FC St. Pauli 1910 winning on 2026-05-16 has decreased significantly over the observed period. The probability fell from a previous level to the current 0.05%.
- What is the event date for the FC St. Pauli 1910 market?
- The event is scheduled to take place on 2026-05-16 at 13:30:00 UTC.
- How are probabilities determined in this market?
- Probabilities in prediction markets like Polymarket are determined by the buying and selling activity of participants. The current probability reflects the price at which the market believes the outcome will resolve. A low probability suggests a low perceived chance of the event occurring.
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