FURIA Esports' Probability Declines Sharply in VCT Americas Matchup

FURIA Esports' win probability against 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega decreased by 74.85% within a 1-hour window on Polymarket.

Published Sun, 10 May 2026 08:05:11 GMT

Current probability
0.1%
Change 24h
-52.5 pts
Change 7d
-52.5 pts
Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-09
FURIA Esports' Probability Declines Sharply in VCT Americas MatchupSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-082026-05-09

Polymarket data for the "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega" market indicates a significant shift in predicted outcomes. The probability of FURIA Esports winning decreased by 74.85 percentage points over a 1-hour period. This change saw FURIA Esports' win probability move from an unspecified higher point to 0.0415 (4.15%) at the time of the trigger, 2024-05-08 20:20 UTC.

At the time of this report, FURIA Esports' current probability stands at 0.0005 (0.05%). Over the last 24 hours, the probability has declined by 52.45%, mirroring its 7-day change of -52.45%. Trading activity in the last 24 hours for this specific outcome shows 0 volume and 0 trades. The market is scheduled to conclude on 2026-05-09 at 06:30 UTC.

To interpret these movements, observe the market's remaining duration and any external information that may influence future trading. Polymarket is a platform where users trade on the future outcomes of events. The prices in these markets can be interpreted as the crowd's aggregated probability of an event occurring. A market trading at 0.0415 (4.15%) indicates that traders collectively believe there is a 4.15% chance of that outcome happening. A declining probability suggests that traders are placing less confidence in that specific outcome based on new information or sentiment.

Frequently asked

What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is a global information market platform where users can trade on the outcomes of future events. Prices in these markets reflect the crowd's aggregated probability of an event occurring.
How do probability markets work?
In probability markets, assets are traded between $0.01 and $1.00. The price at which an asset trades indicates the market's perceived probability of that event occurring. For example, if 'Yes' shares are trading at $0.70, it implies a 70% chance of the 'Yes' outcome happening.
What does a drop in probability mean?
A drop in an outcome's probability on Polymarket indicates that participants in the market are collectively re-evaluating the likelihood of that outcome, leading them to trade at lower prices. This often correlates with new information or shifting sentiment reducing confidence in the outcome.

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