GIANTX vs Solary LoL Esports World Cup Qualifier Playoffs Probability Shift - Polydar
GIANTX probability increased by 38.45% in the last 6 hours for the LoL Esports World Cup Qualifier Playoffs market.
Published Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:35:40 GMT
The probability for GIANTX winning the LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs market has seen a significant shift. In the past 6 hours, the probability has increased by 38.45 percentage points, moving from an unspecified previous value to the current 0.9995. This suggests a strong market consensus forming around the outcome of this particular match.
The market was triggered by an 'odds_shock' event, indicating a rapid and substantial change in the perceived likelihood of a specific outcome. With a current probability of 0.9995, the market is pricing in a near certainty for one of the outcomes, though the data does not specify which side this high probability is associated with. The lack of trading volume and whale activity in the past 24 hours is notable, suggesting that the recent price movement may have occurred on lower liquidity or was driven by a series of smaller trades.
What to Watch Next:
* Match Outcome: The primary event to observe is the conclusion of the LoL: GIANTX vs Solary match. The resolution of this event will determine the final settlement of the market. * Probability Stability: Monitor if the current high probability for one outcome remains stable leading up to and during the match, or if further shifts occur.
Context on Prediction Markets:
Polymarket operates as a decentralized prediction market. The probabilities displayed represent the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of an event occurring based on the prices at which shares are trading. A probability of 0.9995, for instance, means that 99.95% of the trading volume in the market is concentrated on one particular outcome, effectively indicating a strong market sentiment. These probabilities are dynamic and change as new information becomes available or as traders adjust their positions. The "odds_shock" trigger specifically identifies significant movements in these probabilities over a defined short-term period, such as the last 6 hours (indicated by `windowLabel: "6h"`). It is important to note that these probabilities do not represent fixed odds but rather a constantly updating reflection of market sentiment and perceived likelihood.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does the probability of 0.9995 mean in this market?
- A probability of 0.9995 means the market assesses that there is a 99.95% chance of a specific outcome occurring, based on current trading prices.
- What does 'odds_shock' refer to?
- An 'odds_shock' trigger indicates a substantial and rapid change in probability within a short timeframe, highlighting significant market movement.
- When is the GIANTX vs Solary match scheduled to end?
- The market is set to resolve after the match concludes, with an endpoint indicated for 2026-05-14T23:00:00+00:00.
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