Girona FC Odds Shock: Probability Falls 50.45% on Polymarket

The probability for Girona FC to win on 2026-05-14 has dropped by 50.45% on Polymarket, settling at 0.0005.

Published Fri, 10 Jul 2026 02:35:37 GMT

Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-14
Girona FC Odds Shock: Probability Falls 50.45% on PolymarketSports · Odds ShockNo price history yet

Market Data Update: Girona FC Outcome Probability Decline

The probability associated with Girona FC winning on 2026-05-14 has experienced a significant shock, decreasing by 50.45%. This shift occurred over the past 6 hours, moving the market's current probability from a higher value down to 0.0005. As of the last update, the market has recorded zero trading volume, zero trades, and zero whale activity within the preceding 24 hours. The market is set to resolve on May 14, 2026, at 18:00 UTC.

Market Dynamics and Next Steps

This sharp decline in probability, as indicated by the `deltaPct` of -50.45, suggests a notable change in market sentiment or information flow concerning the Girona FC outcome. The current probability of 0.0005 implies a very low market expectation for Girona FC to achieve a win by the specified date. Traders and observers should monitor further price action and any news or events that may correlate with this probability shift leading up to the resolution date.

Context: Polymarket Prediction Markets

Polymarket operates as a decentralized prediction market platform where users can trade on the outcomes of future events. The probabilities displayed on Polymarket, such as the 0.0005 for Girona FC winning, reflect the aggregated beliefs of market participants. These probabilities are determined by the supply and demand for shares in a particular outcome. A probability of 0.0005 translates to a 0.05% chance, according to the market's current assessment. It is important to note that these probabilities are dynamic and can change rapidly based on new information or trading activity. The `volume24h` and `trades24h` data points indicate the level of recent market engagement. A value of zero in these metrics means there has been no trading activity within the last 24 hours preceding the data snapshot.

Frequently asked

What does a probability of 0.0005 mean on Polymarket?
A probability of 0.0005 signifies a 0.05% chance of the event occurring, based on the current market price and trading activity.
What caused the probability for Girona FC to drop?
The provided data indicates a 50.45% decrease in the probability for Girona FC winning on 2026-05-14, but it does not specify the exact cause for this shift.
How are Polymarket probabilities determined?
Polymarket probabilities are determined by the collective beliefs and trading activity of market participants. They represent the current market price for a specific outcome.

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