Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jeanjean's Win Probability Drops 12.5% on Polymarket

Leolia Jeanjean's probability of winning the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match against Jasmine Paolini has decreased by 12.5% in the last hour, reaching 66.5%. This shift follows a 14.5% decline over

Published Thu, 07 May 2026 13:35:05 GMT

Current probability
64.5%
Change 24h
-14.5 pts
Change 7d
-14.5 pts
Volume 24h
$7.6K
Trades 24h
122
Resolves
2026-05-14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jeanjean's Win Probability Drops 12.5% on PolymarketSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-072026-05-07

Leolia Jeanjean's win probability in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match against Jasmine Paolini has experienced a significant decline. Over the past hour, Jeanjean's probability decreased by 12.5 percentage points, an 'odds shock' event at the `triggerTs` of 1778160300886. The current probability of Jeanjean winning stands at 66.5%.

This immediate drop follows a broader trend; the probability has fallen by 14.5% over the last 24 hours. Trading activity indicates a volume of $7,560.59 in the past day, with 122 trades recorded. No whale trades (large-volume transactions) were observed in the same period. The market remains active until the match's scheduled end date on 2026-05-14T11:00:00+00:00.

Prediction markets like Polymarket allow participants to trade shares that pay out $1 if a specific event occurs. The price of these shares can be interpreted as the market's collective probability of that event happening. A probability of 66.5% suggests that market participants believe there is a 66.5% chance Jeanjean will win the match. Shifts in these probabilities reflect new information, updated analyses, or changes in trader sentiment. It is important to note that these probabilities are subject to continuous change as new data becomes available or market dynamics evolve. This market specifically focuses on the outcome of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Jasmine Paolini and Leolia Jeanjean.

Frequently asked

What is the current probability of Leolia Jeanjean winning?
The current probability of Leolia Jeanjean winning is 66.5%.
How much has Jeanjean's probability changed recently?
Jeanjean's win probability has decreased by 12.5 percentage points in the last hour and by 14.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
What is 'odds shock' on Polymarket?
An 'odds shock' refers to a rapid and substantial change in the probability of a market outcome within a short timeframe, as observed on Polymarket.

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