Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Market Odds -50.45% in 1 Hour

Data Overview

The "Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals" market on Polymarket experienced a significant odds shock in the last hour (1h window). The probability for the market to resolve to 'Yes' has decreased by 50.45%, moving from a previous state to the current probability of 0.05%. The total trading volume and the number of trades within the last 24 hours are reported as 0.

Market Dynamics

This -50.45% delta suggests a notable shift in trader sentiment or expectation regarding the outcome of the event specified in the market question. With zero recorded volume in the past 24 hours, the observed price movement appears to be driven by a small number of trades or a re-evaluation of existing positions. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 23, 2026, at 00:15 UTC.

What to Watch Next

Traders and observers should monitor for any subsequent shifts in probability. A lack of further trading volume might indicate a consolidation of the current sentiment or a temporary lull before potential future price discovery. Further analysis would require understanding the specific resolution criteria of the "Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals" market and any external factors that might influence its outcome. The delta percentage is a measure of the change in probability over a specific time window, indicating the magnitude and direction of the shift.

Understanding Prediction Markets

Polymarket operates as a decentralized prediction market. The probability displayed for any market represents the collective belief of its participants, derived from the current trading prices of market shares. A probability of 90% indicates that traders, on average, believe there is a 90% chance the event will occur. Conversely, a probability of 5% suggests a 5% chance. Price movements reflect changes in this collective belief. The "deltaPct" metric quantifies the percentage change in this probability over a defined period, allowing users to identify rapid shifts in market sentiment.