Knicks (-5.5) Spread Market Sees Significant Odds Shift on Polymarket

The Knicks (-5.5) spread market experienced a substantial odds shock, with probabilities shifting by 61.45% in the last hour. Current probability stands at 99.95%.

Published Thu, 08 Oct 2026 05:05:44 GMT

Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-20
Knicks (-5.5) Spread Market Sees Significant Odds Shift on PolymarketSports · Odds ShockNo price history yet

The "Spread: Knicks (-5.5)" market on Polymarket has observed a significant shift in probabilities over the past hour, as indicated by a `deltaPct` of 61.45%. The probability of the event has moved from an unspecified previous level to a current probability of 0.9995.

This `odds_shock` trigger suggests a rapid and substantial change in market sentiment or information flow concerning the Knicks covering a -5.5 point spread. The `windowLabel` of "1h" specifies that this change occurred within the last hour.

The `currentProb` of 0.9995 indicates that the market is currently pricing in a near certainty for the Knicks to cover the -5.5 spread. This level of probability suggests a strong consensus among market participants.

To observe next, traders and analysts should monitor if this high probability is sustained or if further shifts occur. Given the approaching `endDate` of 2026-05-20T00:00:00+00:00, the market is still active, and subsequent price action may reveal additional information or counter-arguments.

Prediction markets, like Polymarket, aggregate the beliefs of participants through the buying and selling of shares in potential outcomes. The price of a share, represented as a probability, reflects the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of an event occurring. A probability of 0.9995, for instance, means that the market is suggesting there is a 99.95% chance of the Knicks covering the -5.5 spread. These probabilities are dynamic and can change based on new information, public sentiment, and trading activity. Users should consider this context when interpreting the data provided.

The `stats` object indicates zero volume, trades, and whales in the last 24 hours, which may suggest that the recent probability shift is driven by a smaller number of trades or a significant reallocation of existing positions rather than broad new market entry. The `resolved` field is null, confirming the market is still active.

Frequently asked

What does an 'odds shock' mean on Polymarket?
An 'odds shock' on Polymarket signifies a rapid and substantial change in the probability of a market outcome within a short timeframe.
How is the probability calculated in this market?
The probability is determined by the trading activity on Polymarket, reflecting the collective belief of traders on the likelihood of the Knicks covering the -5.5 point spread.
What is the significance of a 61.45% deltaPct?
A deltaPct of 61.45% indicates a significant movement in the market's probability. In this case, the odds for the Knicks (-5.5) spread shifted by this percentage within the observed hour.

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