LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid Probability Up 53.45% in 1 Hour on Polymarket

The probability of LYON winning against Team Liquid in the LoL LCS Regular Season has increased by 53.45% in the last hour, reaching 99.95%. This significant shift reflects recent market activity.

Published Tue, 12 May 2026 03:05:28 GMT

Current probability
100.0%
Change 24h
+51.5 pts
Change 7d
+51.5 pts
Volume 24h
$21
Trades 24h
2
Resolves
2026-05-11
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid Probability Up 53.45% in 1 Hour on PolymarketSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-102026-05-11

The Polymarket market querying "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" recently experienced a significant shift in predicted outcomes. Within a 1-hour window, the probability of LYON winning increased by 53.45 percentage points, elevating its chance to 99.95% as of the trigger timestamp 1778463305263.

This rapid change is identified as an 'odds shock,' indicating a material re-evaluation by market participants regarding the likely winner of the match. Over the last 24 hours, the change in probability stands at an increase of 51.45 percentage points.

Market activity within the last 24 hours includes 2 trades, contributing to a volume of 20.58939. No 'whale' trades, defined as trades exceeding a certain threshold, were detected during this period. The rapid assent in LYON's predicted probability suggests that new information or a consensus shift among traders has strongly favored LYON.

Prediction markets like Polymarket aggregate the collective knowledge of participants to forecast future events. Each share purchased at a specific price reflects a participant's belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. A market price of $0.9995 for 'YES' on LYON winning implies a 99.95% perceived probability. This value is derived directly from the last traded price, representing the market's current assessment. Fluctuations in these probabilities, such as the observed 53.45% increase, indicate a dynamic environment where new information is quickly priced in by traders.

All data is accurate as of the trigger timestamp. The market is scheduled to conclude by May 11, 2026, at 04:50 UTC.

Frequently asked

What is the current probability of LYON winning?
The current probability of LYON winning is 99.95%.
How much has the probability changed recently?
The probability of LYON winning has increased by 53.45 percentage points in the last hour and by 51.45 percentage points over the last 24 hours.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by May 11, 2026, at 04:50 UTC.
What does an 'odds shock' signify?
An 'odds shock' on Polymarket indicates a rapid and significant change in the predicted probability of an outcome, often in response to new information or a sudden shift in trader sentiment.

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