LoL Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster LCK Odds See Significant Drop

On May 20, 2026, the market concerning the outcome of the League of Legends match between Nongshim Red Force and KT Rolster (Best of 3) for LCK Rounds 1-2 experienced a notable shift. The probability associated with this market declined by 66.45% over a 6-hour window, moving from a prior implied probability to a current implied probability of 0.05%. This decrease is calculated against the probability at the start of the observation period.

Volume data for the last 24 hours indicates zero trades, zero 24-hour volume, and zero whales participating in this specific market. The market is set to resolve on May 20, 2026, at 16:50:00 UTC.

What to Watch Next:

Traders and observers should monitor any further price action in this market, although current volume metrics suggest low liquidity. The proximity to the end date may also influence trading behavior. Any official announcements regarding team rosters, player health, or match status from the LCK or the participating teams could impact probabilities.

Context on Prediction Markets:

Prediction markets, such as Polymarket, aggregate user beliefs about future events. Prices in these markets reflect the probability of a specific outcome occurring. For instance, a price of $0.10 on a binary market implies a 10% probability that the market's condition will be met. The "odds shock" observed here signifies a significant downward revision in the perceived likelihood of the market resolving positively for the current holders of the "Yes" shares, potentially due to new information or a change in collective sentiment. The calculation of percentage change in odds is based on the implied probability shift. A decrease of 66.45% means the probability was significantly higher at the beginning of the 6-hour window compared to its current level.