Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds Shock on Polymarket

Odds for the Los Angeles Angels to win against the Toronto Blue Jays experienced a significant shock on Polymarket, dropping -33% in six hours.

Published Sun, 10 May 2026 05:05:04 GMT

Current probability
0.1%
Change 24h
-40.5 pts
Change 7d
-40.5 pts
Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds Shock on PolymarketSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-082026-05-09

Polymarket data indicates an odds shock in the "Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays" market. The probability of the Los Angeles Angels winning dropped by -33% over a six-hour period, according to a trigger timestamped 1778290201188. This shift decreased the 'Yes' probability to 0.045 (4.5%) at the time of the trigger. Prior to this shock, the current probability, as reported in the market's statistics, was notably low at 0.0005 (0.05%).

Over the last 24 hours, the market for the Angels to win has seen a -40.45% change in probability and an identical -40.45% change over the last 7 days. There has been no reported trading activity (volume24h: 0, trades24h: 0, whales24h: 0) within the last 24 hours. The market is scheduled to conclude on 2026-05-15 at 23:07:00+00:00.

Investors will be monitoring future odds movements as the game date approaches. Given the current low probability, significant shifts might occur with new information, though recent trading activity has been absent. The market uses a binary outcome, where 'Yes' indicates an Angels win and 'No' indicates a Blue Jays win or draw. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the Angels win and 'No' if they do not. Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to trade on the probability of future events. A contract's price reflects the crowd's aggregated assessment of the likelihood of an event occurring, ranging from $0.01 (1%) to $0.99 (99%). Traders buy 'Yes' shares if they believe the probability will increase and 'No' shares if they believe it will decrease. The final price of a 'Yes' share resolves to $1.00 if the event occurs and $0.00 if it does not.

Frequently asked

What is an odds shock?
An odds shock occurs when there is a rapid and significant change in the probability of an outcome in a prediction market, often triggered by new information or significant trading volume.
How is probability calculated on Polymarket?
On Polymarket, the price of a 'Yes' share in a market directly reflects the crowd's perceived probability of that event occurring. For example, a share price of $0.05 means there is a 5% probability.
What does 'volume24h' mean?
'volume24h' refers to the total monetary value of all trades executed within the market over the past 24 hours, indicating liquidity and trading interest.

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