Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds Drop Significantly on Polymarket
The probability for the Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays market has decreased by 20.5% over the past hour, falling to 22%.
Published Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:05:39 GMT
The market for the Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays opened with a probability of 42.5% and has since declined by 20.5 percentage points to the current 22%. This movement occurred within the last hour, as indicated by the `windowLabel` of '1h'. The `deltaPct` highlights a 20.5% decrease in the implied probability.
Transaction volume within the last 24 hours is reported as 0, with 0 trades and 0 whale activities. The market is set to resolve on May 22, 2026. The `endDate` field for both the overall market and the stats section align, indicating the official resolution time.
What to Watch Next: Market participants will likely monitor any changes in the implied probability following this sharp decline. A sustained decrease or reversal in trend could indicate shifts in aggregated user sentiment or expectations. Given the zero reported activity in the past 24 hours, any future trades will be significant in signaling the market's direction.
Context on Prediction Markets: Prediction markets, like Polymarket, aggregate user belief into probabilities. A probability of 22% suggests that, based on current market activity and sentiment, there is a 22% chance of the event outcome represented by the 'Yes' shares occurring. Probabilities are dynamic and reflect the collective, real-time assessment of participants. An `odds_shock` trigger indicates a substantial percentage change in the probability within a short timeframe, prompting closer examination of the market dynamics.
Want the live numbers?
Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does a 20.5% drop in odds mean for the Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays market?
- A 20.5% drop in odds means the implied probability of the favored outcome has decreased significantly, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the alternative outcome or a reduced confidence in the previously favored outcome.
- What is the current probability for the Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays market on Polymarket?
- The current probability for the Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays market on Polymarket is 22%.
- How is the odds shock calculated for this market?
- The odds shock is calculated based on the percentage change in the probability within a specified window. In this case, the market experienced a 20.5% decrease in probability over the last hour.
Related markets
Sports
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
Sports
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs
Sports
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2