Ninjas in Pyjamas Game 1 Win Probability Jumps to 99.95%

Odds for Ninjas in Pyjamas to win Game 1 against Anyone's Legend in LoL surged by 56.95% within 24 hours, reaching a 99.95% probability on Polymarket.

Published Thu, 07 May 2026 14:35:41 GMT

Current probability
100.0%
Change 24h
+57.0 pts
Change 7d
+57.0 pts
Volume 24h
$25.0K
Trades 24h
125
Resolves
2026-05-07
Ninjas in Pyjamas Game 1 Win Probability Jumps to 99.95%Sports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-072026-05-07

Polymarket data indicates a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of Ninjas in Pyjamas (NIP) winning Game 1 against Anyone's Legend (AL) in the League of Legends market "LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner." Over the past 24 hours, the probability of NIP winning has risen by 56.95 percentage points, reaching 99.95% as of the trigger timestamp. This movement reflects a notable shift in market sentiment.

Simultaneously, trading volume in the last 24 hours reached $25,006.46 with 125 recorded trades, indicating active participation during this period of price discovery. No 'whale' trades, defined as individual trades over $1,000, were observed within this timeframe.

Market participants will likely monitor further probability shifts as the game approaches. The market is scheduled to conclude on 2026-05-07 at 18:30:00+00:00 (UTC). Any additional news, team announcements, or pre-game analyses could influence the existing probabilities.

Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to trade on the future outcomes of events. The price of a share in these markets represents the crowd's aggregated probability of an event occurring, ranging from $0.01 (1%) to $0.99 (99%). A share price of $0.99 for NIP to win Game 1 implies the market assigns a 99% chance of that outcome. Changes in these probabilities, such as the 56.95% rise observed, reflect updated collective information and sentiment among market participants.

Frequently asked

What is the current probability of Ninjas in Pyjamas winning Game 1?
As of the trigger, the current probability for Ninjas in Pyjamas to win Game 1 is 99.95%.
How much has the probability for Ninjas in Pyjamas changed recently?
The probability for Ninjas in Pyjamas to win Game 1 has increased by 56.95 percentage points in the last 24 hours.
What is the total trading volume for this market in the last 24 hours?
The total trading volume for the "LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner" market in the last 24 hours is $25,006.46.
When does this Polymarket market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-05-07 at 18:30:00+00:00 (UTC).

Related markets