Nongshim Red Force Probability Drops 36% in LoL LCK Match vs KT Rolster
Nongshim Red Force's probability to win against KT Rolster in the LCK dropped by 36% in the last hour. Current probability stands at 38.5%.
Published Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:35:23 GMT
Odds Shift in LCK Match
Market Overview: The market for the League of Legends match between Nongshim Red Force (NS) and KT Rolster (KT) on May 20, 2026, has experienced a significant shift in probability over the past hour. The probability associated with Nongshim Red Force winning the Best-of-3 (BO3) series has declined by 36 percentage points.
Data Analysis: As of the latest data, Nongshim Red Force's probability to win the match has fallen from a previous level to a current probability of 38.5%. This represents a substantial movement within the prediction market. The `deltaPct` value of -36 indicates the magnitude of this decline. The `windowLabel` of '1h' signifies that this change occurred within the last hour.
Market Dynamics: Prediction markets, such as Polymarket, aggregate user sentiment and beliefs into probabilities. A decrease in probability for one outcome implies a corresponding increase for the opposing outcome, or a general reduction in the certainty of that outcome. In this case, the market is now assigning a lower likelihood to Nongshim Red Force securing victory against KT Rolster.
Context on Prediction Markets: The probability displayed on Polymarket reflects the collective assessment of traders regarding the likelihood of Nongshim Red Force winning. A probability of 38.5% suggests that, based on current market activity, traders estimate a 38.5% chance of this outcome occurring. It is important to note that these probabilities are dynamic and can change based on new information, market sentiment, and trading volume. The `stats` object indicates no reported trading volume, trades, or whale activity in the past 24 hours, which may suggest the recent probability shift is driven by a smaller number of trades or a change in perceived information prior to the market opening.
What to Watch Next: Market participants will be monitoring any further developments that could influence the probabilities for this match. This includes team roster announcements, official performance statistics, or any significant news related to the participating teams and the LCK season. Given the BO3 format, the probability can continue to fluctuate as the match approaches and unfolds.
Market Details: * Market Question: LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 * End Date: May 20, 2026, 16:50:00 UTC * Current Probability (NS Win): 38.5% * Probability Change (1h): -36 percentage points
Want the live numbers?
Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does the probability on Polymarket mean for LoL matches?
- The probability represents the market's current assessment of the likelihood of a specific outcome, such as a team winning a match, occurring.
- What caused the odds shock for Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster?
- The provided data indicates a 36 percentage point decrease in Nongshim Red Force's probability within the last hour. Specific causal events are not detailed in the data.
- How often do odds change in LoL prediction markets?
- Probabilities in prediction markets are dynamic and can change frequently based on new information, trading activity, and shifts in market sentiment leading up to and during an event.
Related markets
Sports
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
Sports
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs
Sports
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2