Odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Market Drop Significantly
The probability for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians market has decreased by 69.45% in the last 6 hours, falling to 0.05%.
Published Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:05:06 GMT
The market associated with the question 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians' has experienced a notable shift in probability over the past 6 hours. Data indicates a `deltaPct` of -69.45%, driving the `currentProb` down to 0.0005 (or 0.05%). This movement occurred within a 6-hour window, as denoted by `windowLabel`. The `triggerTs` timestamp marks the specific point in time associated with this data anomaly.
The underlying market, identified by `marketSlug` 'mlb-cin-cle-2026-05-16', is scheduled to resolve on 2026-05-23T22:10:00+00:00. Currently, the `stats` object shows no activity in the last 24 hours, with `volume24h`, `trades24h`, and `whales24h` all reported as 0. The market has not yet resolved, as indicated by `resolved: null`.
What to Watch Next: Investors should monitor any further shifts in probability for this market. Given the sharp decline, understanding the factors influencing this price action, if any become apparent, will be key. The absence of recent trading volume or whale activity suggests the recent probability shift might be driven by a small number of trades or a change in aggregated liquidity. Future market activity, especially leading up to the resolution date, will provide further context.
Context on Prediction Markets: Prediction markets, such as Polymarket, allow users to bet on the outcome of future events. Probabilities displayed on these platforms reflect the collective belief of market participants regarding the likelihood of a specific outcome. A probability of 0.75, for instance, suggests that market participants, on aggregate, believe there is a 75% chance of that outcome occurring. Conversely, a probability of 0.05 indicates a perceived 5% likelihood. These probabilities can fluctuate based on new information, changing sentiment, or trading activity. The `deltaPct` highlights the percentage change in probability over a specified period, offering a measure of the market's recent volatility.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does a probability of 0.05 mean in a prediction market?
- A probability of 0.05 in a prediction market indicates that participants collectively believe there is a 5% chance of the specified outcome occurring.
- What caused the probability drop in the Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians market?
- The provided data indicates a probability decrease of 69.45% over 6 hours, but does not specify the exact cause for this shift.
- When will the Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to resolve on 2026-05-23T22:10:00+00:00.
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