Odds for Spurs (-4.5) to Cover Spread Drop Sharply in Past Hour

Polymarket data shows a 31.95% decline in the probability of the Spurs covering the -4.5 spread in the last hour, now at 0.0005.

Published Tue, 12 May 2026 06:35:41 GMT

Current probability
0.1%
Change 24h
-51.5 pts
Change 7d
-51.5 pts
Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-10
Odds for Spurs (-4.5) to Cover Spread Drop Sharply in Past HourSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-102026-05-11

The probability for the market "Spread: Spurs (-4.5)" has experienced a significant decline, dropping by 31.95% over the past hour. The market's probability is currently at 0.0005, following the steepest hourly decline measured over the last three hours for this market. This shift occurred at 1778466600907 UNIX timestamp.

Over the last 24 hours, the probability shows a 51.45% decrease, aligning with the 7-day change, also at -51.45%. This indicates that the recent hourly decline is a continuation of a broader downward trend in the market's perceived likelihood.

Recent trading activity indicates minimal engagement with the current movement. No volume, trades, or whale activity have been recorded in the past 24 hours. The market is scheduled to resolve on "2026-05-10T23:30:00+00:00".

What to Watch Next:

Monitor subsequent market movements for any further probability shifts or increased trading volume. Analysis of related news or external sports data may provide context for continued declines or potential rebounds. The absence of trading volume suggests this shift may reflect a re-evaluation by existing participants rather than new large-scale market entry.

Understanding Prediction Markets:

Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to trade on the outcome of future events. The prices of shares in these markets reflect the crowd's perceived probability of an event occurring. A market price of $0.0005 means that participants believe there is a 0.05% chance of the Spurs covering the -4.5 spread. A decreasing probability indicates that market participants are collectively betting against the outcome, while an increasing probability suggests growing confidence in the outcome. These probabilities are not guarantees but rather reflections of aggregated real-time beliefs.

Frequently asked

What caused the Spurs (-4.5) market to drop?
The market 'Spread: Spurs (-4.5)' saw its probability decrease by 31.95% in the last hour, reaching 0.0005. The specific cause is not indicated by the provided data, which shows no volume, trades, or whale activity in the last 24 hours.
Where can I track the Spurs (-4.5) market?
You can track the market 'Spread: Spurs (-4.5)' on Polymarket using its market slug 'nba-sas-min-2026-05-10-spread-away-4pt5' or condition ID '0x227a9e44c4a49b119c97352df5138b97ef1c191209c393bf3417f086555c924d'.
When does the Spurs (-4.5) market resolve?
The market 'Spread: Spurs (-4.5)' is set to resolve on 2026-05-10T23:30:00+00:00 UTC.

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