Orlando City SC Win Odds Rise 42% on Polymarket Ahead of 2026-05-13 Match
Orlando City SC's win probability on Polymarket surged by 41.95% in the last 6 hours, reaching 0.9995 ahead of their 2026-05-13 game.
Published Sat, 27 Jun 2026 01:05:16 GMT
Market Dynamics E:
Market Activity Snapshot: The "Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-13?" market experienced a significant shift in probability over the past 6 hours. The probability of Orlando City SC winning increased by 41.95 percentage points, achieving a current probability of 0.9995. This movement occurred around the timestamp 1778723401130.
Quantitative Indicators: The `deltaPct` metric, representing the percentage change in probability, stands at 41.95%. The `currentProb` is calculated at 0.9995, indicating a near-certain expectation of an Orlando City SC victory according to market participants. The `windowLabel` specifies the observation period for this delta as '6h'. The market data does not indicate any trading volume, trades, or whale activity within the last 24 hours (`volume24h`, `trades24h`, `whales24h` are all 0), suggesting the probability shift may be driven by factors outside of immediate, high-frequency trading.
Future Observations: Market participants will likely monitor for any official team news, injury reports, or further developments concerning the 2026-05-13 match that could influence the probability. Given the current probability of 0.9995, substantial deviations would require significant unforeseen events.
Prediction Market Context: Polymarket operates as a decentralized prediction market where users can buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of future events. The probability displayed on the platform is derived from the market price of a contract that resolves positively if the specified event occurs. A probability of 0.9995, for example, suggests that the market collectively assesses a 99.95% chance of the condition (Orlando City SC winning on 2026-05-13) being met. This probability fluctuates based on supply and demand for the contract, reflecting the aggregated belief of market participants. It's crucial to distinguish between market-derived probability and confirmed outcomes; the former represents a forecast, not a guarantee. The `endDate` for the market is set for 2026-05-13T23:30:00+00:00.
Want the live numbers?
Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What caused the odds shock for Orlando City SC?
- The provided data shows a 41.95% increase in the probability of Orlando City SC winning by 2026-05-13 within a 6-hour window, raising the odds to 0.9995. The data does not specify the exact cause of this shift.
- What does a probability of 0.9995 mean on Polymarket?
- A probability of 0.9995 on Polymarket signifies that the market consensus, based on trading activity, assigns a 99.95% chance to Orlando City SC winning their match on 2026-05-13.
- When is the Orlando City SC match scheduled?
- The market in question is set to resolve based on the outcome of a match occurring on 2026-05-13, with the resolution time specified as 2026-05-13T23:30:00+00:00.
Related markets
Sports
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?
Sports
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
Sports
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs
Sports
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2