Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: Phoenix Mercury's Odds Drop
Phoenix Mercury's probability in the 'Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries' market saw a 14.5% decline in the past hour on Polymarket, currently at 24%.
Published Tue, 12 May 2026 03:35:13 GMT
Polymarket data indicates a notable shift in the `Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries` market. Over the past hour, the implied probability for the Phoenix Mercury has decreased by 14.499999999999998 percentage points, from its prior level to a current probability of 24%.
This movement represents a `odds_shock` event, signaling a rapid re-evaluation of outcomes by market participants within the last hour. Such shifts can occur due to various factors including news, participant sentiment changes, or large trades.
Looking forward, market watchers may monitor for further probability shifts closer to the market's end date of "2026-05-11T00:30:00+00:00". Additional changes in the market's implied probability for the Phoenix Mercury would indicate continued changes in participant expectations. The market's overall activity, including volume and number of trades, would provide further context on the nature of these movements. To date, the market has not recorded any volume or trades in the past 24 hours prior to this odds shock.
Prediction markets like Polymarket aggregate the beliefs of participants into a real-time probability. Each share purchased on Polymarket represents a contingent payout: buying a share for $0.24 means it will be worth $1 if the outcome occurs, or $0 if it does not. The current price of shares directly reflects the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of an event occurring.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What is the current probability for the Phoenix Mercury?
- The current implied probability for the Phoenix Mercury is 24%.
- How much did Phoenix Mercury's probability change?
- The Phoenix Mercury's probability changed by 14.499999999999998 percentage points in the last hour.
- When does the 'Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries' market resolve?
- The market is set to resolve on 2026-05-11T00:30:00+00:00.
- What does an 'odds shock' mean on Polymarket?
- An 'odds shock' indicates a rapid and significant change in a market's implied probability within a short timeframe, typically an hour, reflecting a sudden shift in market sentiment or information.
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