Pistons (-3.5) Spread Market Probability Drops 38.5% in 6 Hours on Polymarket
The probability for the Pistons (-3.5) spread market on Polymarket has fallen 38.5% over the last 6 hours, currently standing at 15%.
Published Wed, 16 Sep 2026 03:06:05 GMT
The probability for the market 'Spread: Pistons (-3.5)' has decreased by 38.5% over the past 6 hours (windowLabel: 6h). The current probability is 0.15, down from a prior value implied by the deltaPct. The market is scheduled to resolve on 2026-05-17T04:00:00+00:00. As of the last data pull, there were no recorded trades or volume within the preceding 24 hours (volume24h: 0, trades24h: 0).
What to watch next: Market participants will be observing any changes in trading activity or shifts in public perception that might influence the probability of the Pistons covering the -3.5 point spread. Given the lack of recent trading volume, a small number of trades could significantly impact the probability.
Understanding Prediction Markets: Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to bet on the outcome of future events. The probability displayed (e.g., 0.15 or 15%) represents the market's consensus on the likelihood of that specific outcome occurring, based on the aggregated trades. A higher probability indicates a greater perceived chance of the event happening. The 'deltaPct' indicates the percentage change in probability over a specified recent period, in this case, 6 hours. A negative deltaPct signifies a decrease in the market's assessed probability.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does a 15% probability mean for the Pistons (-3.5) spread?
- A 15% probability suggests that, based on current trading on Polymarket, the market assesses a 15% chance that the Detroit Pistons will win by more than 3.5 points.
- Why did the probability for Pistons (-3.5) drop?
- The provided data indicates a 38.5% decrease in probability over 6 hours, but does not specify the underlying reasons for this shift. Factors in prediction markets can include new information, changing sentiment, or trading activity.
- How is the probability calculated on Polymarket?
- Polymarket probabilities are derived from the prices at which shares trade on the platform. The price of a share directly corresponds to the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring.
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