Pistons (-3.5) Spread Market Sees 52% Price Drop in 6 Hours

The probability of the Pistons covering the spread (-3.5) has fallen 52% in 6 hours. Explore the latest movements on Polymarket.

Published Fri, 18 Sep 2026 00:05:31 GMT

Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-17
Pistons (-3.5) Spread Market Sees 52% Price Drop in 6 HoursSports · Odds ShockNo price history yet

The market for the NBA game spread of Pistons (-3.5) experienced a significant price shock in the last 6 hours. The probability associated with the Pistons covering the spread has decreased by 52.05%, falling from a previous level to the current probability of 0.45%. This movement occurred within the "6h" window and is reflected in the `deltaPct` of -52.05%.

At present, the `stats.volume24h` and `stats.trades24h` are both reported as 0, indicating no trading activity in the last 24 hours leading up to this price change. Similarly, `stats.whales24h` is also 0.

What to Watch Next:

Market participants will be observing if this downward trend in probability continues. Further price movements will be influenced by any official team news, injury reports, or shifts in public perception regarding the Pistons' performance against the spread. Given the lack of recent trading volume, any new information or increased market participation could lead to more volatility.

Understanding Prediction Markets:

Prediction markets like Polymarket function as decentralized platforms where users can trade contracts based on the outcome of future events. The price of a contract, represented as a probability, reflects the collective belief of traders about a specific outcome. A probability of 0.45, for example, suggests a 45% chance of that outcome occurring, according to market participants.

The `endDate` for this market is set for May 17, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, indicating the timeframe for the event the spread applies to. The `currentProb` represents the probability at the time of the trigger, and `deltaPct` quantifies the percentage change in that probability over the specified `windowLabel`.

Frequently asked

What does Pistons (-3.5) mean in sports betting?
In sports betting, '-3.5' for the Pistons means they must win by more than 3.5 points (i.e., win by 4 or more points) for a bet on them to cover the spread to be successful.
What caused the price shock on Polymarket?
The provided data indicates a 52.05% decrease in the probability of the Pistons covering the spread within a 6-hour window. No specific external event is cited in the data trigger.
How are probabilities determined on Polymarket?
Probabilities on Polymarket are determined by the trading activity of users. The price of a contract reflects the consensus belief of traders regarding the likelihood of a specific outcome.

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