Sabres vs. Canadiens: Market probability drops to 0.05%
The probability of 'Sabres' in the 'Sabres vs. Canadiens' market declined sharply by -61.45% over the past 6 hours, reaching a current probability of 0.05%. This market is set to resolve by May 10, 20
Published Tue, 12 May 2026 05:35:34 GMT
Over the past 6 hours, the probability of the 'Sabres' winning in the 'Sabres vs. Canadiens' market experienced a 'shock event', decreasing by -61.45%. This movement brought the probability down to its current level of 0.05%. The market's probability also shows a -46.45% change over the last 24 hours and 7 days, aligning with recent activity. Market volume and trades over the past 24 hours registered at 0, indicating a sudden, concentrated shift in participant expectations rather than broad trading activity.
While the market saw no reported trading volume or trades over the past 24 hours, the observed probability shift indicates at least one transaction or a series of transactions that significantly re-evaluated the outcome. This re-evaluation led to a notable reduction in the predicted likelihood of the Sabres winning.
Looking ahead, participants will monitor any further probability shifts as the market approaches its resolution date of May 10, 2026, at 23:00 UTC. The market will resolve based on the confirmed outcome of the Sabres vs. Canadiens game.
Polymarket is a prediction market platform where users trade on the future outcomes of events. The price of a share in a market reflects the crowd's perceived probability of that event occurring. For instance, a share price of $0.05 (or 0.05%) indicates that market participants collectively believe there is a 0.05% chance of the event happening. A higher price signifies a higher perceived probability, while a lower price indicates a lower perceived probability. Understanding these probabilistic movements provides insight into market sentiment regarding specific future events.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What is the 'Sabres vs. Canadiens' market about?
- This market on Polymarket asks participants to predict the outcome of a game between the Sabres and the Canadiens, with a specific focus on the Sabres' victory.
- How is the probability determined on Polymarket?
- The probability is determined by the collective betting activity of market participants. The current market price of an outcome's share directly reflects the crowd's perceived probability of that outcome occurring.
- What does a 'shock event' mean in this context?
- A 'shock event' refers to a rapid and substantial change in the market's probability for a specific outcome, often driven by new information or significant trading activity, even if that activity isn't reflected in high volume.
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