San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Market Probability Surges
Odds for the San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners market saw a significant 57.35% increase in probability over the last 6 hours, reaching 98.85%.
Published Fri, 18 Sep 2026 00:05:27 GMT
The probability for the San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners market, identified by `mlb-sd-sea-2026-05-17`, experienced a substantial shift. Over the preceding 6-hour window (`windowLabel`), the probability increased by 57.35 percentage points (`deltaPct`), moving from an unspecified previous value to the current 98.85% (`currentProb`). The market is scheduled to resolve on May 24, 2026, at 23:20:00 UTC (`endDate`).
At present, the market shows no recorded trading volume, trades, or whale activity in the last 24 hours (`volume24h`, `trades24h`, `whales24h`). The market is not yet resolved (`resolved`).
Traders and observers should monitor the probability for any further significant movements leading up to the resolution date. Understanding prediction markets involves interpreting probabilities as the aggregated belief of participants regarding a specific outcome. A probability of 98.85% suggests a very high degree of consensus among market participants that the condition specified by the market question will be met.
The `odds_shock` trigger indicates a rapid and substantial change in the market's perceived probability. These shocks can be driven by various factors, including new information, shifts in sentiment, or strategic trading activity. In this instance, the scale of the probability change warrants attention.
Further analysis would typically involve examining the specific event or information that may have contributed to this probability shift, although no such information is provided in the current data. The market's endpoint is May 24, 2026, at 23:20:00 UTC. The underlying mechanism driving this market is the `conditionId`: `0x8e415f7c0ee12e3ec7cdd53e74b11d0879e08eb09eb0b5d75d05cf95f8a72b3b`.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does the probability of 98.85% mean for the San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners market?
- A probability of 98.85% indicates that market participants collectively assign a very high likelihood to the outcome defined by the market question being true.
- What caused the odds shock in the San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners market?
- The provided data indicates a 57.35% increase in probability over 6 hours, but does not specify the exact cause of the shock.
- When does the San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners market resolve?
- The market is set to resolve on May 24, 2026, at 23:20:00 UTC.
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