St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Odds Experience 14% Drop

Polymarket data indicates a significant 14% drop in the implied probability for the St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres market within a 1-hour window. This shift follows substantial trading activ

Published Sat, 09 May 2026 02:35:06 GMT

Current probability
100.0%
Change 24h
+60.5 pts
Change 7d
+60.5 pts
Volume 24h
$13.9K
Trades 24h
153
Resolves
2026-05-15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Odds Experience 14% DropSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-072026-05-08

In the 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres' market on Polymarket, the implied probability for a specific outcome (not explicitly named in data) experienced a shock, registering a -14.00% change within a 1-hour window leading up to `triggerTs`. The current probability for this outcome stands at 0.265.

This market, categorized under 'Sports', has seen considerable recent activity. Over the past 24 hours, the market recorded $13,916.05 in trading volume, distributed across 153 trades. The 24-hour period also shows a remarkable 60.45% increase in the current probability, mirroring the 7-day change percentage. However, the `deltaPct` indicates a recent sharp decline within the last hour.

Looking ahead, participants will be monitoring the market's response to this probability shock as the event's end date of May 15, 2026, at 02:10 AM UTC approaches. Further shifts in implied probabilities will reflect new information or sentiment among Polymarket traders.

It is important to understand that prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to trade on the future outcome of events. The prices in these markets can be interpreted as the crowd's aggregated probability of an event occurring. A probability of 0.265, for instance, suggests a 26.5% chance of the outcome being true. Users fund their trades with USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar. These markets resolve to either 0% or 100% based on the factual outcome of the specified event, with successful predictions yielding returns proportional to the initial stake.

Frequently asked

What caused the specific probability drop in the St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres market?
The data indicates a -14.00% change in implied probability within a 1-hour window. Specific causes for such shifts are not detailed in the provided data but typically relate to new information, trading patterns, or changes in market sentiment.
How much trading activity has occurred in this market recently?
In the last 24 hours, the market has seen $13,916.05 in trading volume across 153 trades. There were no identified whale trades within the same period.
What does a probability of 0.265 mean on Polymarket?
On Polymarket, a probability of 0.265 means that market participants collectively believe there is a 26.5% chance of that specific outcome occurring, based on current trading prices.

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