Team Liquid Game 1 odds increase 17.95% in 1 hour on Polymarket

Team Liquid's implied probability of winning Game 1 against Lyon Gaming increased by 17.95% to 99.95% on Polymarket within the last hour, indicating significant market movement.

Published Tue, 12 May 2026 03:05:16 GMT

Current probability
100.0%
Change 24h
+18.0 pts
Change 7d
+18.0 pts
Volume 24h
$0
Trades 24h
0
Resolves
2026-05-11
Team Liquid Game 1 odds increase 17.95% in 1 hour on PolymarketSports · Odds Shock25%50%75%Trigger2026-05-102026-05-11

Team Liquid Sees Significant Odds Surge for Game 1 Victory

The market for "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner" on Polymarket has registered a substantial shift in the past hour. The implied probability of Team Liquid winning Game 1 has increased by 17.95%, reaching a current probability of 99.95%. This movement occurred within a 1-hour window, triggered at 1778457900337 UTC.

This rapid increase suggests a strong conviction among market participants regarding Team Liquid's advantage in the first game. As of the latest data point, the 24-hour and 7-day change percentages also reflect this 17.95% increase, indicating that the majority of this movement is recent. Volume and trade data for the last 24 hours show no reported activity, suggesting that while the probability shifted, the underlying trades may have been concentrated or occurred just outside the current reporting window, or potentially represent a market maker adjustment. The market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-05-11T04:50:00+00:00.

What to Watch Next:

Market participants will be observing whether this high probability for Team Liquid sustains as the match approaches, or if any opposing movements emerge. Any significant trades placed on LYON will be indicative of a potential counter-narrative, though such an event would require significant capital to move current odds. Further market activity, particularly trading volume and the number of distinct trades, will offer insight into the breadth of market conviction. The market will ultimately resolve based on the official outcome of Game 1 between Lyon Gaming and Team Liquid.

Understanding Prediction Markets:

Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to trade shares on the outcome of future events. The price of these shares, ranging from $0.01 to $0.99, reflects the crowd's aggregated probability of a specific event occurring. For example, a share price of $0.99 for Team Liquid winning Game 1 implies a 99% probability of that outcome. Traders buy shares in outcomes they believe are undervalued and sell shares in outcomes they believe are overvalued. The market's dynamic pricing mechanism, driven by supply and demand, provides a real-time, aggregated forecast based on all available information known to participants. These markets are frequently monitored as indicators of perceived likelihood for various events.

Frequently asked

What caused the 17.95% increase in Team Liquid's odds?
Team Liquid's implied probability of winning Game 1 increased by 17.95% within the last hour, reaching 99.95%, as reflected by market activity on Polymarket.
What does a 99.95% probability mean on Polymarket?
A 99.95% probability indicates that market participants collectively believe there is an extremely high likelihood (99.95 chances out of 100) that Team Liquid will win Game 1 against Lyon Gaming.
When will this market resolve?
The market for 'LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner' is set to resolve by 2026-05-11T04:50:00+00:00 UTC.

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