Thunder (-6.5) Spread Odds Decline 10% on Polymarket
Odds for the Thunder (-6.5) spread market on Polymarket have decreased by 10.00% in the last hour, currently standing at 41.5%.
Published Tue, 29 Sep 2026 13:06:02 GMT
The probability of the Thunder covering the -6.5 spread has decreased by 10.00% over the past hour, moving from an initial probability of approximately 51.5% (implied by a 10% drop from a starting point around 51.5% to a current 41.5%) to the current 41.5% as of 1779151202270.
Data Overview:
* Market: Spread: Thunder (-6.5) * Current Probability: 41.5% * Change (1h): -10.00% * End Date: 2026-05-19T00:30:00+00:00 * Volume (24h): 0 * Trades (24h): 0 * Whales (24h): 0
Key Observations:
The market reflects a shift in the perceived likelihood of the Oklahoma City Thunder covering a 6.5-point spread. The -10.00% delta indicates a notable decline in the probability assigned to this outcome within the last hour. The trading volume and activity metrics for the past 24 hours are reported as zero, suggesting minimal recent market participation or liquidity.
What to Watch Next:
Market participants will monitor further shifts in probability for the Thunder (-6.5) spread. The lack of reported 24-hour volume suggests that current price discovery might be driven by a limited number of trades or a re-evaluation of existing positions. The approaching end date of 2026-05-19T00:30:00+00:00 will become increasingly relevant as the event nears.
Understanding Prediction Markets:
Prediction markets, like Polymarket, operate on the principle of collective intelligence. Probabilities displayed represent the market's consensus on the likelihood of an event occurring, derived from the prices at which contracts are trading. A probability of 41.5% suggests that, based on current trading, the market estimates a 41.5% chance of the Thunder covering the -6.5 spread.
Want the live numbers?
Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What does the 'Spread: Thunder (-6.5)' market on Polymarket mean?
- This market predicts whether the Oklahoma City Thunder will win by more than 6.5 points against their opponent. A 'Yes' outcome requires the Thunder to win by 7 points or more.
- What caused the odds for Thunder (-6.5) to change?
- The provided data indicates a 10.00% decrease in the probability of the Thunder (-6.5) spread over the past hour. Specific causes for market shifts are not included in the data.
- How are probabilities determined in prediction markets?
- Probabilities are determined by the trading prices of market contracts. If a contract is trading at $0.50, it implies a 50% probability for that outcome.
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