← All insights

Tech Prediction Markets

31 insights published in this category.

Odds Shock2026-07-19

Elon Musk Tweet Count 65-89 (May 14-16, 2026) Probability Jumps on Polymarket

Probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets May 14-16, 2026, increased by 26 percentage points to 66.5% over the last 6 hours on Polymarket.

Odds Shock2026-07-19

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Sees 36.4% Odds Jump on Polymarket

The market on Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets from May 8-15, 2026, saw a 36.4% increase in probability within 6 hours. Current probability stands at 99.95%.

Odds Shock2026-07-18

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Surges 70% as Odds Shift Dramatically

A significant price shock occurred in the Elon Musk tweet count market for May 8-15, 2026, with probabilities shifting by 70.85% in the last 6 hours.

Odds Shock2026-07-17

Elon Musk Tweet Volume Market Probability Drops 25% on Polymarket

Market on Elon Musk's tweet volume (May 8-15, 2026: 120-139 tweets) saw probability decrease 25.15% over the last hour.

Odds Shock2026-07-17

Elon Musk Tweet Count Odds Shock: 120-139 Tweets May 8-15, 2026 - Polydar

Market probability for Elon Musk posting 120-139 tweets between May 8-15, 2026 shifted by 21.75% in the last 6 hours.

Odds Shock2026-07-17

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Down 15%

Market for Elon Musk tweeting 140-159 times May 8-15, 2026, has fallen 15% to 19.55% probability.

Odds Shock2026-07-16

Elon Musk Tweet Volume Market: Probability Drops Amidst Odds Shock

Market probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets May 8-15, 2026, decreased by 12.5% in the last 1h.

Odds Shock2026-07-15

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market -19% in 6 Hours on Polymarket

The probability of Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets from May 8-15, 2026 has decreased by 19% in the last 6 hours on Polymarket.

Odds Shock2026-07-15

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Sees 15.6% Probability Shift on Polymarket

The market for Elon Musk's tweet count (120-139 between May 8-15, 2026) has seen a 15.6% increase in probability, now standing at 57.35%.

Odds Shock2026-07-15

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? — Odds Move Down on Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? — Odds Move Down on Polymarket.

Odds Shock2026-07-15

Elon Musk Tweet Count Odds Shift Dramatically: What Changed?

A significant 19.8% shift in probability occurred in the Elon Musk tweet count market. The market assesses the likelihood of 120-139 tweets between May 8-15, 2026.

Odds Shock2026-07-14

Elon Musk Tweet Count Odds Shock: 120-139 Tweets May 8-15, 2026

Market probability for Elon Musk tweeting 120-139 times from May 8-15, 2026 fell 23.2% in 6 hours.

Odds Shock2026-07-14

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market 140-159 May 8-15 2026: Probability Jumps 23%

The market for Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets between May 8-15, 2026, experienced a significant 23.2% increase in probability within the last 6 hours.

Odds Shock2026-07-12

Elon Musk Tweet Count Probability Jumps 21% on Polydar's '140-159' Market

A 21.15% odds shift occurred in the market for Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets between May 8-15, 2026. Current probability stands at 34.35%.

Odds Shock2026-07-11

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Probability Jumps 22.15% in 6h Window

Probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 tweets May 8-15, 2026, rose 22.15% in 6 hours to 35.35%.

Odds Shock2026-07-10

Elon Musk Tweet Count: 100-119 Tweets May 8-15, 2026 Polymarket Odds Drop

The probability of Elon Musk posting 100-119 tweets between May 8-15, 2026, on Polymarket has fallen 36.25% in the last 6 hours.

Odds Shock2026-07-09

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? — Odds Move Down on Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? — Odds Move Down on Polymarket.

Odds Shock2026-07-09

Elon Musk Tweet Count Odds See Significant Decline on Polymarket

Odds for Elon Musk posting 100-119 tweets between May 8-15, 2026, dropped 39.4% in the last 6 hours. Market probability now stands at 0.05%.

Odds Shock2026-07-08

Elon Musk 120-139 Tweets May 8-15, 2026? Market Prob Up 25.2%

The probability for Elon Musk tweeting between 120-139 times from May 8-15, 2026, increased by 25.2% in the last 6 hours.

Odds Shock2026-07-07

Elon Musk Tweet Count 140-159 May 8-15, 2026: Probability Changes

The probability for Elon Musk tweeting 140-159 times between May 8-15, 2026 has seen a significant shift. See the data.

Odds Shock2026-07-07

Elon Musk Tweet Count 120-139 May 8-15 2026 Market Sees Odds Shift

Market probability for Elon Musk tweeting 120-139 times between May 8-15, 2026, adjusted significantly. Data shows a 21.4% delta over the latest window.

Odds Shock2026-07-06

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Probability Down 57.3% in 6 Hours on Polymarket

The probability of Elon Musk posting 100-119 tweets between May 8-15, 2026, has fallen 57.3% in the last 6 hours, reaching 0.05%.

Odds Shock2026-06-22

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Sees 16.9% Probability Drop

Probability for Elon Musk to post 80-99 tweets between May 8-15, 2026, fell 16.9% to 1.6% in the past 6 hours.

Odds Shock2026-06-20

Elon Musk 80-99 Tweets May 8-15, 2026 Market Probability Decreases 14%

The probability of Elon Musk posting 80-99 tweets from May 8-15, 2026, on Polymarket has fallen by 14.25%. Current probability stands at 4.25%.

Odds Shock2026-06-15

Elon Musk 80-99 Tweet Count Market Sees 15% Drop

The market predicting 80-99 Elon Musk tweets May 8-15, 2026, has fallen 15.5%. Current probability sits at 8.3%.

Odds Shock2026-06-14

Elon Musk Tweet Volume (May 8-15, 2026) Market Drops on Polymarket

The Polymarket market on Elon Musk posting 80-99 tweets from May 8-15, 2026, saw a 16.1% decrease in probability. Current probability is 5.45%.

Odds Shock2026-06-09

Elon Musk 80-99 Tweet Count Market Declines 15% On Polymarket

The market for Elon Musk posting 80-99 tweets between May 8-15, 2026, has seen a 15.2% decrease in probability on Polymarket.

Odds Shock2026-06-09

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Probability Drops 15.3%

Market assessing Elon Musk's tweet count from May 8-15, 2026 sees 15.3% probability decrease. Current odds stand at 4.65%.

Odds Shock2026-06-08

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market Sees Volume Spike and Probability Shift

Market for Elon Musk posting 80-99 tweets May 8-15, 2026, experienced a probability shock. Current odds are 6.1%, down from previous levels.

Odds Shock2026-05-28

Will Elon Musk tweet fewer than 40 times between May 11-13, 2026? Probability drops 12.5%

Probability for Elon Musk tweeting <40 times May 11-13, 2026, moved from 0.57 to 0.49 (-12.5%) in the last hour. Market ends 2026-05-13 16:00.

Odds Shock2026-05-12

Elon Musk 40-64 Tweet Probability Drops 19% in One Hour

Polymarket data shows a significant one-hour decline in the probability of Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets from May 9-11, 2026. The market current probability stands at 22.5%.