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Geopolitics Prediction Markets

2 insights published in this category.

Whale Alert2026-06-30

Whale Alert Triggered in US-Iran Permanent Peace Deal Market on Polymarket

A significant trade by a large holder occurred in the US-Iran permanent peace deal market. View current probabilities and market dynamics.

Whale Alert2026-06-08

US x Iran Permanent Peace Deal Probability Dips Following Whale Alert on Polymarket

Probability for a US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026, fell to 0.05% following a recent whale alert. Volume and trade activity remain minimal.