Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? — Odds Move Up on Polymarket
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? — Odds Move Up on Polymarket. Current implied probability: 96%. 24h volume: $4.4K.
Published Tue, 12 May 2026 05:05:10 GMT
What the data shows
The politics market "Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?" triggered a Polydar Odds Shock alert. Probability rose 33.5 points in 24h. Current implied probability: 96%. 24h volume: $4.4K.
What to watch
Monitor follow-on flows over the next 24-48 hours. Repeated moves in the same direction often indicate informed conviction, while quick reversion typically signals noise from a single large order.
Reading prediction markets
Probabilities on Polymarket reflect what traders are willing to pay for a YES contract that pays $1 if the event occurs. A 65% probability means the market collectively prices the event at 65 cents per dollar of payout. These markets have historically performed competitively against polls and expert forecasts on well-traded political and economic questions.
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Track this market live on Polydar →Frequently asked
- What are the current odds for "Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?"?
- The market is trading at 96% implied probability.
- How accurate are Polymarket predictions?
- Liquid Polymarket questions have historically tracked or beaten polling averages on political and macro events, though accuracy varies by market depth.
- Where can I track this market live?
- Open the live dashboard on Polydar to see real-time odds, trades, and whale flow.