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Economy Prediction Markets

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Odds Shock2026-05-08

S&P 500 Odds for Up/Down Shift by 27% on Polymarket

Polymarket data for the 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?' market indicates a 27% shift in probabilities over 6 hours. Current probabilities show 8.5% for an 'Up' close.