29 insights published in this category.
The probability of WTI Crude Oil hitting $95 in May has surged by 17.00%, reaching 75% on Polymarket. This indicates increased market conviction towards the target.
Analysis of WTI Crude Oil price movement. Discover what a recent odds shock in the prediction market means for May's price targets.
Probability of WTI Crude Oil hitting $115 in May has decreased by 10.5% in the past hour, now standing at 35.5%.
Polymarket probability for WTI Crude Oil hitting $105 in May surged 17% in the last hour, now standing at 88.5%.
The probability of WTI Crude Oil hitting below $95 in May has decreased by 17.5%. The current probability stands at 44%.
WTI Crude Oil market shows a 17.5% price decrease, with current probability at 44% for hitting $95 in May.
Probability of WTI Crude Oil hitting a low of $95 in May has decreased by 17.5% in the last hour, currently standing at 44%.
Polymarket probability for WTI Crude Oil hitting $110 in May has increased by 10.50%. Current odds stand at 57%.
Polymarket data shows a 15% drop in implied probability for WTI Crude Oil trading below $95 in May. Current odds are 40.5%.
WTI Crude Oil futures market probability for May delivery below $95 has seen a significant shift, indicating increased downside risk according to recent data.
Market probability for WTI Crude Oil hitting $105 in May 2026 has increased significantly by 11.5%. Current odds stand at 94%.
Analysis of WTI Crude Oil futures market. Probability of WTI hitting $95 in May has shifted significantly, indicating market sentiment changes.
Market probability for Jerome Powell being removed as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026, surged 20.5%. Current odds stand at 99.95%.
The probability of Jerome Powell being out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, has surged 27.45 percentage points to 99.95% on Polymarket.
Probability of Jerome Powell no longer being Fed Chair by May 16, 2026, surged 31.15% on Polymarket due to a data trigger.
Market probability for Jerome Powell's removal as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026 has seen a significant increase, now trading at 99.95%. Data reflects 6-hour window changes.
Market probability for Jerome Powell's removal as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, has surged to 99.95%. See the data and what it means.
Market odds for Jerome Powell's departure as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026, increased by 26.55% in the last 6 hours, reaching 99.95% probability.
Market probability for Jerome Powell exiting his Fed Chair role by May 15, 2026, has increased by 51.5%. Current odds stand at 73.5%.
Probability for Jerome Powell's removal as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, has increased by 63 percentage points in the last 6 hours on Polymarket.
Probability of Jerome Powell being out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026, rose 13.2% in the past hour. Current odds sit at 86.6% on Polymarket.
Market odds for Jerome Powell's tenure as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, saw a notable shift of 21.999999999999996 percentage points in the last hour.
Market probability for Jerome Powell's removal as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026, has shifted by -15.00%. Current odds stand at 58.4%.
The probability for WTI Crude Oil hitting $105 in May declined by 15.5% over the last 6 hours. Current probability stands at 72.5%.
WTI Crude Oil target price probability has decreased by 61% in the past 24 hours on Polymarket, reflecting current market sentiment.
Polymarket odds for WTI Crude Oil reaching $105 week of May 11, 2026, have fallen 61%. Current probability stands at 7.5%.
WTI Crude Oil price probability surged 39.45% in the last hour on Polymarket. Market currently prices a 99.95% chance of 'Up'.
WTI Crude Oil price odds show a 99.7% probability of 'Up' for the May 14 resolution. Volume and trades remain extremely low.
Polymarket data for the 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?' market indicates a 27% shift in probabilities over 6 hours. Current probabilities show 8.5% for an 'Up' close.